Relative to other medium-sized American cities, Seattle has a good bus network. What it doesn’t have is a true bus rapid transit (BRT) line. The Seattle Department of Transportation (SDOT) wants to change that with “Madison Bus Rapid Transit,” as it has labeled a new project in a corridor designated for RapidRide+ upgrades in the Move Seattle levy. SDOT is still accepting online comments on the 30% design at the project website.

Calling a project “BRT” definitely raises expectations but with lifted expectations comes a duty to meet them with a good design. The early design from November didn’t do much to quell concerns of BRT creep and falling short of expectations. Why? It showed only 36% exclusive laves sandwiched between 40% business access transit (BAT) lanes and 36% mixed lanes. The Institute for Transportation and Development Policy (ITDP) recommends 100% dedicated lanes.

madisonBRT
Madison BRT seems to have been improved from its November iteration. (SDOT)

Luckily SDOT said its latest design is improved with 60% exclusive lanes and 4% BAT lanes. It would still technically be a close call meeting the BRT standard (PDF) established by the ITDP on the two key qualifying categories of dedicated right-of-way and busway alignment. Here’s the scorecard on dedicated lanes on which a project must score 4 points for the IDTP to consider it BRT.

The ITDP would give the Madison design a 3.76 by my math. If they were kind enough to round up, this could make the project qualify as BRT.
The ITDP would score the Madison design a 3.6 by my math (60% dedicated lanes, color-differentiated, but no physical separation). If they were kind enough to round up to a 4, this could make the project just barely qualify as BRT by the ITDP’s metrics. (ITDP)

BRT Scoring

Projects must also score at least 20 total points in the five “BRT basics” categories: dedicated right-of-way, busway alignment, off-board fare collection, intersection treatments, and platform level boarding. Now, I’m no expert on BRT design or ITDP scoring, but, by my rough tally, Madison clears that hurtle thanks to scoring well on platform level boarding and off-board fare collection.

Running through the other broad categories—service planning, communications, stations, access and integration—and taking a few guesses, Madison BRT appears set to score about 59 points out of 100 possible just surpassing the threshold (55 points) to earn Bronze-standard BRT from the ITDP. Note, at least 70 points is needed for Silver-standard BRT and 85 points for Gold-standard. My full scoring is listed in detail at the end of this post.

Performance Deductions

Now unfortunately a score around 59 points would put Madison BRT in danger of losing its bronze medal with even minor performance deductions. Madison BRT would have to average at least 12 miles per hour speed to avoid a “Commercial Speeds” deduction (which ranges up to -10 points for under 8 miles per hour). Beyond that, peak ridership would have to be high enough, enforcement of right-of-way stringent enough, and bus bunching rare enough to avoid deduction, each of which could spell trouble. The performance deductions categories are listed below with their maximum penalty.

  • Commercial speeds (-10 points)
  • Peak passengers per hour per direction below 1,000 (-5 points)
  • Lack of enforcement of BRT right-of-way (-5 points)
  • Significant gap between bus floor and station platform (-5 points)
  • Poor maintenance (-14 points)
  • Overcrowding (-5 points)
  • Low peak frequency (-3 points)
  • Low off-peak frequency (-2 points)
  • Permitting unsafe bicycle use (-2 points)
  • Lack of traffic safety data (-2 points)
  • Buses running parallel to BRT corridor (-6 points)
  • Bus bunching (-4 points)

The Madison Street project has a path to getting Bronze-standard BRT status, but its a path beset with many potential stumbling blocks. We could reasonably be skeptical and say it’s unlikely to score as BRT, but let’s be optimistic and give SDOT the benefit of the doubt, at least until further designs or performance of the line itself change our view. It shows vision that SDOT went for full BRT, and hopefully they continue attempting to upgrade key corridors to full BRT.

Looking Ahead To Other Projects

Move Seattle Overview
The Move Seattle levy promised RapidRide+ improvements to the seven corridors in blue. (Move Seattle)

The Urbanist has declared we will only call projects BRT that could realistically meet a rigorous standard like the ITDP lays out. Now the ITDP isn’t the be all end all, but a bad score should indicate when a design has strayed too far from best practices. It’s hard to imagine other RapidRide+ projects getting BRT certification largely because often their right-of-way is limited and SDOT is unlikely to have such a large budget since the seven lines will have to share the $169 million allotted in Move Seattle that SDOT hopes to use to leverage a total of $418 million. Subtracting Madison’s $120 million, that’s about $300 million for 6 lines or $50 million per project. Given Madison BRT’s design took $120 million for 2.5 miles, it would stand to reason that the other RapidRide+ corridors, all of which are longer, are going to need more than $50 million each to also achieve the Bronze-standard. Perhaps, SDOT can lavish attention on a few best candidates to get a few lines to Bronze-standard BRT. The 40 and 48 corridors seem like the best bets.

The other RapidRide+ project far along in design process is the Roosevelt/Eastlake project, and the design looks decidedly un-rapid with an estimated 8 mph average transit speed and 80 to 90% mixed with traffic. A slow line inevitably makes the bus rapid transit label hard to swallow. Worse the “BRT” option SDOT presented claimed 21 mph transit speed would somehow be obtained, although average speed that great seems implausible. The option was ruled out due to cost concerns. Unless the Roosevelt design changes dramatically, it’s hard to fathom it earning BRT status from the ITDP or being considered “rapid” in the minds of its riders.

Madison BRT Scorecord

CategoryScoreMaximum Possible
Total Score59100
Dedicated Right-of-way3.68
Busway Alignment4.48
Off-board Fare Collection78
Intersection Treatments37
Platform Level Boarding77
Multiple Routes44
Express, Limited-Stop03
Control Center13
Top Ten Corridor22
Demand Profile23
Hours of Ops12
Multi-Corridor Network22
Passing Lanes at Stations13
Minimizing Bus Emissions33
Stations Set Back13
Center Stations02
Pavement Quality22
Distance btw Stations02
Safe/Comfortable Stations23
Number of Doors33
Docking Bays/Substops01
Sliding Doors01
Branding23
Passenger Info22
Universal Access23
Integration w/ Other Bus23
Pedestrian Access, Safety24
Secure Bicycle Parking02
Bicycle Lanes02
Bike Share Integration01
The ITDP established a standard with 30 categories and a maximum of 100 points possible. Above is how Madison BRT fares under its 30% design by my tally anyway.

Note: I awarded Madison BRT an additional 2 points in the Top Ten Corridor category after going back to run the numbers in riders per mile. The 12, though averaging just 3,600 riders, manages a decent score in riders per mile thanks to its short 3 mile length. There is also an argument for adding a portion of the 11 or the 60 to the corridor’s tally since they each use Madison briefly, but I don’t have the station by station data to parse that out. Even without part of the 11 or 60 ridership, Madison Street could secure the ninth slot if measured per mile. Below is how the corridors stacked up by my math.

Top Ten Corridors in Riders Per Mile - BIG

4 COMMENTS

  1. The scorecard is really geared toward long routes on very wide roads. Madison loses points for:
    – Not having physical barriers in the roadway, which would be a pretty heavy-handed treatment on Madison
    – Not having express variants, which are pointless on such a short route
    – Not being in the top 10 corridors, measured by total ridership instead of per-mile/per-hour ridership
    – No passing lanes at stations, which are geared toward express service on long/wide corridors
    – No stations with multiple bays, which have no reason to exist here.
    – No sliding-door barriers between platforms and buses, which, like physical barriers in the roadway, would be heavy-handed on Madison.

    This would be the scorecard to use if we were building BRT instead of LRT on MLK, or if we were doing Madison-Montlake-UW BRT instead of building a subway under UW.

    • That’s fair and I thought some of those items were overkill too, but some of the issues the score card zeroes in are definitely real issues. Whether its pedestrian and bicycle access or the lack of dedicated lanes or adequate intersection treatments in portions. And the items that perhaps weren’t applicable were in the minority and probably wouldn’t amount to enough points to get Madison to Gold-standard BRT or even Silver anyway.

      Are you confident Madison would be a top ten corridor measured per mile? The 12 averaged ridership of 3,600 last year which even on a short route doesn’t amount to a lot. The 11 did similarly but doesn’t really use the section of the corridor slated for BRT upgrades save for a few blocks.

      • I have no idea whether Madison is a top-ten corridor per-mile in Seattle today. It probably depends how you define and organize “corridors”, just as the route’s place in ridership rankings would depend a lot on how the routes are organized. That’s particularly true in this part of Seattle where routes could plausibly mix and match segments in a variety of combinations. Back when arguments about restructures in this part of town were fresh a lot of people thought the right combination was investments in speed and reliability on Madison west of 12th to improve very popular service on East Union, and that spending lots of money west of 12th only to send the buses only down East Madison didn’t add up…

        • I decided to give the Madison design points for being a top ten corridor after running the numbers in riders per mile (as crudely as I could with available data). It seems it would rank ninth or tenth by that metric. That brings its score to 59 points.

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