The Washington State Department of Transportation (WSDOT) has released its annual Active Transportation Safety Report, and the news from 2018 is not good. Between 2014 and 2018, pedestrian and cyclist deaths in traffic collisions rose 50%, jumping from 82 in 2014 to 123 in 2018.

Similar to the data compiled by Seattle’s 2018 Vision Zero Progress report, statewide fatalities of pedestrians and cyclists failed to decrease between 2017 and 2018, revealing the difficult of reversing traffic death trends despite the State’s goal of eliminating traffic accident deaths by 2030. And last year’s traffic violence figures were already staggeringly high.

While WSDOT acknowledges that the loss of a human life is “incalculable to those who have lost a loved one,” the agency also attaches an economic cost to deaths and serious injuries. Using a federally provided tool of economic measurement called the Value of a Statistical Life (VSL), WSDOT estimates the societal cost of the pedestrian and cyclist fatalities in Washington state at $1.2 billion for 2018.

Serious injuries also continue to increase. The number of serious traffic injuries to people walking and bicycling increased 27% from 421 in 2014 to 535 in 2018, and unlike fatalities, serious injuries actually increased substantially between 2017 and 2018.

For pedestrians, the number of serious injuries increased 12%, from 360 to 403. While for cyclists, the number jumped a whopping 32%, from 100 to 132. Using the VSL measurement, the 519 pedestrian and bicyclist serious injuries in Washington state in 2018 cost society approximately $524 million.

Credit: WSDOT Active Transportation Safety Report 2018

Some more notable trends emerged from the report.

  • 59% of fatal and serious injury crashes occurred in census blocks that have higher poverty levels than the state average, highlighting the need for more safe infrastructure in low-income communities.
  • Since 2014, traffic fatalities involving pedestrians—including people in wheelchairs and those using other small rideable devices such as skateboards and scooters—have increased 42% from 76 to 108. 
  • Bicyclist fatalities have more than doubled during this same five-year period, increasing 150% from six in 2014 to 15 in 2018.
  • From 2014 to 2018, 87% of pedestrian and bicyclist fatalities occurred on roads with posted speeds of 30 mph or higher.
  • In a rare bright spot, evaluation of Safe Routes to School/ Pedestrian and Bicycle Program projects found a 36% to 44% decrease in bicyclist and pedestrian crashes at project sites.
The success of programs like Safe Routes to Schools shows that it is possible to successfully reduce serious injuries and fatalities on Washington’s streets. Credit: Washington State 2016 Student Travel Survey
State Report

How does VSL calculate the value of a life?

The concept of the Value of a Statistical Life (VSL) dates back to the 1960s and 1970s, in which the Federal government decided to apply a cost-benefit analysis to saving lives. Measurements of statistical value are intended to take into account the victim’s expected earnings and additional products society may have lost as a result of their death.

According to the U.S. Department of Transportation, which is responsible for determining VSL, “These lost earnings were widely believed to understate the real costs of loss of life, because the value that we place on the continued life of our family and friends is not based entirely, or even principally, on their earning capacity.”

VSL assigns a single, nationwide value to lives lost, regardless of the age, income, or other distinct characteristics of the affected population, the mode of travel, or the nature of the risk they undertook. 

The most recently published VSL uses 2016 data to assign a price tag of $9.6 million per life lost.

What is WSDOT doing to improve safety for pedestrians and cyclists?

While supporters of traffic safety camera bill HB 1793 were disappointed that it failed to to make it out of committee in the in past legislative session, a few other bills aimed at increasing safety for pedestrians and cyclists did succeed in Olympia.

One was Senate Bill 5710, which merges separate pedestrian and bicyclist councils into the Cooper Jones Active Transportation Safety Advisory Council. The ATSAC will continue to analyze data and make recommendations with the aim of reducing pedestrian and bicyclist fatalities and serious injuries.

The legislature also passed SB 5723, an update to the vulnerable
road user law that defines safe passing and road use for drivers, pedestrians, and cyclists. It also increases fines for unsafe passing and uses the revenues collected from fines to establish a vulnerable roadway user education fund. The fund will support programs dedicated to increasing awareness by law enforcement officers, prosecutors, and judges of opportunities for enforcement of traffic infractions and offenses committed against vulnerable roadway users, which WSDOT defines as anyone who is not inside a vehicle, so riders of motorcycles or horses fall into the category, as do pedestrians, cyclists, and wheelchair users.

Reducing speeds to beneath 30 mph has been shown to substantially decrease serious injuries and fatalities for pedestrians and cyclists; however, simply posting a reduced speed limit is not enough to deter drivers from driving faster. In many cases traffic calming measures are needed. (Credit: WSDOT Target Zero Report 2018)

WSDOT’s funding for pedestrian and cyclist safety improvements is awarded through two primary programs: the WSDOT Pedestrian and Bicycle Program and Safe Routes to School.

The agency expects to award approximately $41 million in funding for the two programs in the summer of 2019. However, demand for funding far exceeds the WSDOT’s budget for these programs. From January to April 2018, WSDOT received 255 applications requesting $187.4 million from the two programs—the highest total amount ever requested.

To better understand how to reduce pedestrian crashes, WSDOT has partnered with the University of Washington conduct an Advancing Multimodal Safety Through Pedestrian Risk Reduction study. This study assess both environmental and socio-economic factors that contribute to pedestrian collisions at crash-risk locations. It includes statistical modeling for both intersection and non-intersection locations. The study is expected to be completed in this month.

WSDOT is also still collecting data to update its Active Transportation Plan. The plan, which is updated every five years, is used to prioritize safety improvements, improve policies, secure funding, and development performance measures for safety infrastructure. Initially, WSDOT had decided to collect public comment through a survey; however, the agency decided to close the survey early over concerns that a number of questions did not invite “objective feedback.”

Readers who are interested in commenting on the public draft plan, which is scheduled to be released in December of 2019, should sign up for WSDOT Active Transportation e-news.

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6 COMMENTS

  1. I’m a firm believer that ALL pedestrian/cyclist deaths and injuries are 100% avoidable. If we ALL do our part to pay attention, put down our devices, and not be distracted, whether we’re out walking, jogging, riding bikes, with our dogs, or driving these percentages could drop dramatically. There’s only so much the DOT’s can do, but if we continue to live our lives in a state of constant distraction, then regardless of what measures are implemented to increase safety, these unfortunate accidents will continue to occur.

  2. I am an avid cyclist and, the few accidents I witnessed over the years are mostly due to distracted driving. It has gotten worse recently given how frequently drivers are using their cell phones while driving. At the same time, the lawmakers continue to do nothing about this epidemic! I drove recently on one of Calgary’s highways in Canada during rush hour. The thing the struck me the most is that, out of the hundreds of drivers going by on stop and go traffic, only 2 were checking their phones and you can tell they were very nervous about it. I looked it up and found out that the penalties for using your phone while driving there are stiff, which is why I am disappointed at our lawmakers for not imposing similar regulations to save lives. We all need to speak up and let our representative hear us.

  3. I’m also curious as to the actual causes of vulnerable user deaths. It’s certainly convenient to always blame the motorist, but in how many cases was the victim’s nose buried in their electronic device, or otherwise just not paying attention? I still shudder at the near-miss I had years ago when a bicyclist ran a stop sign right in front of me on a dark rainy night.

    • Who is blaming the motorist? The design of our streets are the most common culprit. When we have a doubling of deaths for people walking around our state, we should look to the systems that we are all using to see where we can make improvements.

      I think frequently about the story of Joshua Karl Reynolds of Bellingham, who was ticketed for driving without a license so he stopped driving. He was walking on a shoulder of a road without a sidewalk when we was hit by a side mirror and died. We failed this person in so many ways.

  4. These are good questions. WSDOT owns up to not having accurate numbers on how many miles pedestrians and cyclists travel, and they are looking at ways to capture this data. It’s true that there are more people living Washington, particularly in the Puget Sound region, and that likely accounts for the increase. However, since the goal is to end traffic fatalities, the hope would be that the numbers would be on a downward trajectory instead of continuing to increase. In terms of comparisons with other areas on pedestrian deaths, according to Smart Growth America 2019 report, the Seattle metro area ranks well nationally – 94th out of 100 – but Washington State’s performance is more lackluster -35th out of 51- including DC. However, Smart Growth does not take into consideration serious injuries, which are increasing at a higher rate than fatalities in Washington State.

  5. Without minimizing these tragic events (any death is one too many), I was wondering if anyone was looking at the rate? I know there are more people living here now and more of them are walking and riding around Seattle. Is there anyway to look at this data in terms of 100,000 people or miles walked or miles ridden? Also how does Seattle compare to other cities of our size? I think that would give a more nuanced look at the data. I understand that this may be hard to do and I was curious of anyone had actually done it?

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